College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (2024)

Week 0 was the warmup for the upcoming 2022 college football season, but for many Week 1 signifies the real start of the marathon. In the span of Thursday through Labor Day, we'll have five loaded days of college football, providing wall-to-wall (or screen-to-screen) action that will havea little bit of something for everyone.

Getting things underway is the return of a top-10 rivalry in college football: the Backyard Brawl betweenWest Virginiaand No. 17 Pitt. The old Big East rivals haven't played since 2011 -- a 21-20 win for the Mountaineers in Morgantown, West Viginia -- but the passage of time hasn't diminished the stakes.

The frenzy of kickoffs to start Thursday's action doesn't end in the Steel City, though. No. 12Oklahoma StatehostsCentral Michiganin the first meeting between the programs since a miraculous, if not controversial, 30-27 Chippewas win in Stillwater, Oklahoma, back in 2016. Meanwhile,Tennesseeopens its season against MAC foeBall Statewith the Volunteers carrying high hopes from the offseason into the fall. Then, a Big Ten cross-divisional game betweenPenn StateandPurduekeeps the entertainment going with the Nittany Lions hoping to start 2022 off on the right foot after consecutive disappointing seasons.

Be sure to stick with CBS Sports throughout the evening for college football coverage from the opening kickoff onward. Let's take a look at our expert picks for the best games on Thursday of Week 1.

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook | All times Eastern

West Virginia vs. No. 17Pittsburgh

7 p.m. | ESPN,fuboTV(Try for free) --It ain't called the Backyard Shootout, it's called the Backyard Brawl. The fabric of this rivalry is made of rock fights; every yard is earned and the defenses rule the day. While two formerUSCquarterbacks --JT Danielsfor WVU,Kedon Slovisfor Pitt -- will dominate the conversation, both teams are stronger on the defensive side of the ball. There's also the matter of Pitt's offense evolving through the loss of Kenny Pickett,Jordan Addisonand OC Mark Whipple, and the implementation of a new offense. Signs point to a team that's going to run the ball a little more than it did in 2021, rely on its advantage at the line of scrimmage and, for our purposes, play a style that sets up well for the under.Pick: Under 51-- Chip Patterson


College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (1)

Dennis Dodd

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (2)

Tom Fornelli

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (3)

Chip Patterson

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (4)

Barrett Sallee

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (5)

Shehan Jeyarajah

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (6)

David Cobb

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (7)

Jerry Palm

ATS

West Virginia

West Virginia

Pittsburgh

West Virginia

West Virginia

Pittsburgh

West Virginia

SU

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

West Virginia

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh

West Virginia

Central Michigan vs. No. 12 Oklahoma State

7 p.m. | FS1,fuboTV(Try for free) --There was a time when Oklahoma State was the king of nonconference shootouts, but it's a new day in Stillwater. The Cowboys allowed just 18.1 points per game in 2021 and limited opponents to just 2.71 yards per carry. There's turnover on defense, but the Cowboys should still be able to bottle up the Chippewas and star running back Lew Nichols. Expect a slow, low-scoring game.Pick: Under 59.5-- Shehan Jeyarajah


College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (22)

Dennis Dodd

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (23)

Tom Fornelli

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (24)

Chip Patterson

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (25)

Barrett Sallee

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (26)

Shehan Jeyarajah

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (27)

David Cobb

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (28)

Jerry Palm

ATS

C. Michigan

C. Michigan

C. Michigan

Okla. St.

C. Michigan

C. Michigan

Okla. St.

SU

Okla. St.

Okla. St.

Okla. St.

Okla. St.

Okla. St.

Okla. St.

Okla. St.

Ball State vs. Tennessee

7 p.m. | SEC Network,fuboTV(Try for free) --The point total in Ball State's last seven games against Power Five opposition failed to reach 68 points. In fact, the average point total in the Cardinals' past 10 games of that variety is just 50.9. Tennessee's offense is explosive, yes, but the Volunteers have a huge game at Pitt looming in Week 2 and may call off the dogs relatively early if they can. The Vols are certainly suspect defensively, but they did allow just six points against MAC foe Bowling Green in last year's opener.Pick: Under 68 -- David Cobb

Penn State vs. Purdue

8 p.m. | Fox,fuboTV(Try for free) --I've painted myself into a bit of a corner here. I spent the offseason talking about Penn State being the Big Ten's most underrated program based on the last couple of seasons, while simultaneously saying that Purdue was overrated after overperforming last season. Well, it looks like my two opinions will clash head-on Thursday night, and I see no reason to back down from them yet. I have legitimate concerns about Purdue's ability to quickly replace the key parts it lost from last year's team, and Penn State should have the clear talent advantage. There's a reason the Nittany Lions are favored on the road coming off a mediocre season. Don't overthink it.Pick: Penn State -3.5 -- Tom Fornelli

Which college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 1, and which big favorite will go down hard?Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread-- all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,600 in profit over the past six-plus seasons -- and find out.

College football picks, schedule: Predictions against the spread, odds for key Week 1 games Thursday (2024)

FAQs

What is the most accurate college football prediction site? ›

Dimers.com is the home of the best college football predictions, providing fans with the tools, computer analysis, and expert data to excel at college football betting.

How accurate are college football predictions? ›

Over the past 10 years, a sample of 339 bowl games, the preseason Coaches poll predicted 59.9% of bowl game winners (163-109 with no prediction in 67 games with two unranked teams). The AP poll didn't do much worse at 58.8% of winners (154-108 with no prediction in 77 games).

What do the odds mean in college football? ›

Odds with a negative (-) symbol indicate the betting favorite. The number that follows the negative symbol (the odds) reveals how much to bet for every $100 you want to win. For example, if the team you're betting on has -110 odds, you need to wager $110 to win $100.

What is the most accurate football prediction site? ›

MeritPredict is the best football prediction website in the world. Meritpredict makes it easier for punters and football bettors to win their games. we provide accurate football prediction for free to visitors to help them win their bets.

What is the best football prediction website for sure bets? ›

Focuspredict is among the top site that offers accurate football predictions to bettors.

How often is the spread correct? ›

Point spreads are chosen to be maximally difficult to beat, so even a success rate of 5% above a baseline would be considered a success. It has been said by certain professional sports bettors that one should not expect more than approximately 60% accuracy in betting, so this is the figure that we will strive towards.

How often do favorites cover the spread in college football? ›

How often does the favorite cover the spread in NCAAF? In the 2021 season, the favorite covered 442 games ATS and lost 422 games ATS, which equals a 51.16% win percentage against the spread .

How often do 14 point underdogs win? ›

NCAA Football Betting Results: How Often Point Spread Comes into Play
LineGamesUnderdog Outright Win
-1460386
-14.542064
-1534152
-15.524333
61 more rows

Which odd is likely to win? ›

Odds are presented as a positive or negative number next to the team's name. A negative number means the team is favored to win, while a positive number indicates that they are the underdog.

How to read spread odds? ›

The point spread is the expected final score difference between two teams. It is represented as both a negative and positive number; if the spread is 3 points, you'll see that as both -3 and +3. The team that is the favorite to win gets the minus-number (-3); the underdog gets the plus-number (+3).

Is college football easier to bet on? ›

With so many games each week, it's much harder for betting sites and oddsmakers to accurately handicap every college game. If you're willing to take a chance on some more obscure matchups, it's easier to find value on college betting lines than those for the NFL.

What is the most reliable football stats website? ›

  1. Fbref. Fbref is a website that collects statistics on football teams and players from around the world. ...
  2. Transfermarkt. Transfermarkt is the go-to site for researching player market values and transfer records. ...
  3. Squawka. ...
  4. WhoScored. ...
  5. Football-Data. ...
  6. Understat. ...
  7. SoccerStats. ...
  8. FootyStats.
May 1, 2024

Where can I get a correct football prediction? ›

If you are looking for sites that predict football matches correctly, Tips180 is the best football prediction site.

What is the best winning football prediction app? ›

  1. Eagle Predict App. Eaglepredict app is a free-to-use website that provides In-Depth football analysis, odds, and data on the top and bottom divisions of football leagues across Europe and other nations, as well as significant competitions. ...
  2. Sofascore. ...
  3. FotMob. ...
  4. FlashScore. ...
  5. Livescore. ...
  6. Whoscored.
Apr 14, 2023

What is the most accurate American football prediction site? ›

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions. Dimers gives 🏈 fans the tools, computer analysis and expert data to excel at NFL betting in 2024.

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